Below is a chart of the University of North Texas offense, defense and total production rankings since 2008 along with the rank of the worst team in the Football Bowl Subdivision during the time period. As you can see the University of North Texas Mean Green have not been above average except for one season with Dan McCarney as head football coach since the 2008 season. More information from the model is presented below.
Todd Dodge (2007 - 2010) as head football coach
2008
In head coach Dodge's second season (contract here), North Texas finished the regular season at 1-11 and bowl ineligible playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average, meaning that their actual SOS was within one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS. The Mean Green's only victory was over #99 ranked Western Kentucky and their worst loss was to #109 ranked Louisiana Monroe. Overall, the Mean Green had the #119 most productive college football team with the #107 ranked offense and the #120 ranked defense.
2009
North Texas finished the regular season at 2-10 and played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS meaning that their SOS was between one and two standard deviations above the "leagues" average SOS. The Mean Green's best game was a victory over #110 ranked Ball State and their worst loss was to #111 ranked Florida International University. Overall, the Mean Green's had the #99 ranked team in terms of total production with the #74 ranked offense and the #98 ranked defense.
2010
Head coach Dodge's was fired midway through the season with a record of 1-6, North Texas finished 3-9 while again playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Mean Green's best game was a victory over #74 ranked Middle Tennessee State and their worst loss was to #105 ranked Rice. North Texas finished the season with the #80 ranked team in overall productivity with the #84 ranked offense and the #66 ranked defense.
Dan McCarney (2011 - 2015) as head football coach
2011
North Texas hired Dan McCarney in 2011. McCarney's first season as head football coach the resulted in the Mean Green finishing at 5-7. North Texas played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Mean Green's best game was a 38-21 victory over #71 ranked Louisiana Monroe and their worst loss was to #87 ranked Western Kentucky 21-31. The Mean Green's had the #91 ranked team in terms of total production with the #75 ranked offense and the #91 ranked defense.
2012
In McCarney's second season as head football coach the Mean Green finished at 4-8 playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average. The Mean Green's best game was a 30-23 victory over #51 ranked Louisiana Lafayette and their worst game was a 21-44 loss was to #85 ranked Houston. Overall, North Texas had the #95 ranked team with the #91 ranked offense and the #72 ranked defense.
2013
North Texas finished the regular season at 8-4 and finished overall at 9-4 with a bowl victory over #76 ranked UNLV while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average, meaning the the Mean Green's SOS was between one and two standard deviations greater than the "league" average SOS. The Mean Green's best game was a 34-27 victory over #21 ranked Ball State and their worst game was a 21-27 loss was to #82 ranked Ohio. Overall, the Mean Green had the #33 ranked team with the #42 ranked offense and the #27 ranked defense.
2014
North Texas amended head coach McCarney's contract in 2014 after the success during the previous season. North Texas finished the regular season at 4-8 and out of playoff contention. The Mean Green again played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. This season the Mean Green's best game was a 17-14 victory over #82 ranked Florida International University and their worst game was a 20-30 loss was to #123 ranked Southern Mississippi. Overall, the Mean Green had the #97 ranked team with the #103 ranked offense and the #68 ranked defense.
2015
McCarney only made it through half of the regular season with a 0-6 record. At the time of McCarney's departure North Texas played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Mean Green's worst loss was to FCS Portland State. At the time of McCarney's departure North Texas had the #128 (WORST) ranked team in total production with the #128 (WORST) ranked offense and the #126 (3rd worst) ranked defense.
2015 In Season NCAA FBS Head Coach Changes
University of Illinois and Tim Beckman
University of Maryland and Randy Edsall
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